Recently in Polls Category

It's often said people may not like Congress but do like their own congressman. That's why this new national poll about middle class attitudes toward their own member of Congress is worth a look. ... 

The time to start taking polls seriously is drawing near. It usually begins with the conventions. It's always interesting to see how high a candidate's post-convention bounce will go and how long it will last. By mid-September, the race should start to take clearer shape as voters pay closer attention and the number of undecided voters begins shrinking. But be careful this year -- polling is unusually tricky.

The latest round of polls -- whether on the national or on the more important state level -- confirm that this is going to be another very close presidential election.

When Ralph Nader announced he was running for president (again), few gave it much thought. The conventional wisdom was that he'd already had his day (and his impact), and he wouldn't be able to claim more than a few followers this time around. Well, maybe that'll prove right in the end, but if the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll is any indication, we could be in for another Nader surprise.

Ah, the fickleness of the Campaign '08 polls. Remember Barack Obama's commanding 13% lead headed into the New Hampshire primary? (Nope, he lost to Hillary Clinton) Remember those Texas polls that showed him surging?  (He lost to Clinton there, too.) Many polls have been out-of-kilter this year, and they will be right up to Nov. 4. But here's my theory: If Barack Obama leads by 6% or more over Labor Day weekend, he will likely win the presidency in a squeaker. If his lead is 5% or less, John McCain could well pull it out.